Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000110 0.000122 0.000133 0.000147 0.000162 0.000179 0.000198
2026-01-11 0.000088 0.000104 0.000122 0.000145 0.000173 0.000205 0.000246
2026-01-18 0.000075 0.000093 0.000116 0.000146 0.000184 0.000232 0.000297
2026-01-25 0.000065 0.000084 0.000109 0.000144 0.000190 0.000251 0.000339
2026-02-01 0.000058 0.000078 0.000105 0.000143 0.000198 0.000273 0.000385
2026-02-08 0.000052 0.000072 0.000100 0.000141 0.000201 0.000288 0.000424
2026-02-15 0.000046 0.000066 0.000095 0.000138 0.000203 0.000301 0.000460
2026-02-22 0.000043 0.000063 0.000093 0.000139 0.000212 0.000324 0.000514
2026-03-01 0.000041 0.000061 0.000092 0.000141 0.000222 0.000350 0.000575
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000138 0.000222 0.000360 0.000611
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000133 0.000220 0.000366 0.000639
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000134 0.000227 0.000388 0.000699
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000135 0.000235 0.000413 0.000769
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000134 0.000238 0.000429 0.000825
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000134 0.000245 0.000454 0.000902
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000042 0.000073 0.000132 0.000247 0.000470 0.000960
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000072 0.000132 0.000252 0.000492 0.001037
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000130 0.000253 0.000506 0.001097
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000037 0.000066 0.000127 0.000253 0.000516 0.001149
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000128 0.000261 0.000545 0.001250
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000130 0.000271 0.000581 0.001371
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000063 0.000127 0.000269 0.000590 0.001427
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000123 0.000265 0.000591 0.001464